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Hereward Fenton

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Australia’s historical fertility rate

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The following graph is a little out of date, but it was all I could find after a quick search. I invite feedback from those who assert that Australia is in need of a radical one-child policy:

"The ageing of the population is caused by two factors. Firstly, Australian families are, on average, having fewer children. Birth rates started declining in the late 1960s, and have been falling ever since (Chart A1). For the last 20 years or so the birth rate has fallen below the replacement rate — meaning that without migration Australia’s population would eventually begin to fall."

Australia’s historical fertility rate
http://demographics.treasury.gov.au/.../adc-04.asp

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Firstly, we need to decide whether or not it should be government policy to increase Australia’s population whether through birth or immigration.<br><br>The Queensland and Australian governments literally plan to cram well over a million more people into South East Queensland by 2031 in spite of the fact that past population growth has caused our water crises, traffic congestion, bus rage, train rage, pedestrian rage, overloaded power generation, housing shortages, housing hyper-inflation, etc, etc.<br><br>This is happening because our political leaders are no more than glove puppets for the Growth Lobby of which I have written in “How the Growth Lobby threatens Australia’s future” published on Online Opinion on 9 Feb 2009.  (My article draws from Sheila Newman’s Master Thesis downloadable from http://candobetter.org/sheila)<br><br>Secondly, the birth rate still exceeds the death rate in spite of the birth rate being less than two.  This is because of our longer life span.  Of course, eventually a birth rate of less than 2 must lead to a drop in population, but for now our population is increasing even without immigration.  <br><br>And if Australia’s population were to drop, would that necessarily a bad thing given the grave harm that is now being done to the Australian environment with 21 million Australians?<br><br>I personally don’t know whether or not a one child policy is necessary for Australia.<br><br>What we do need is a population policy that will ensure that our numbers do not exceed this country’s natural carrying capacity.  At the moment it is obvious that they do.  Perhaps if someone could show how we can sustain our current population without causing irreparable ecological damage, we could then consider whether or not it should be increased, but to deliberately try to increase it given the parlous state of Australia’s environment is reckless folly.<br><br>BTW, this is also being discussed in the Online Opinion forum in response to the (pro-population-growht) article Planet Earth - babies need not apply .

By James Sinnamon on 2009 05 03 - 16:44:49

How can encouraging killing children be good for anyone? This is a stupid debate, just listen to talks concerning GM foods, junk foods, Big_Pharma poisions and Vaccination Damage and realise that people are already dying at unprecedented rates. Don’t forget the alarming fertility decline either.

By playtoh on 2009 05 21 - 15:14:57

No-one is encouraging the killing of children to reduce population.  Where does this false assertion come from? What is its purpose?<br><br>With regard to the graph: this is the famous ‘demographic transition’ which occurs when the cost of raising children (due to education etc), child labour laws which prohibit deriving income from children, and reduced rates of infant death,  makes having several counter productive.  Add to this the education of women where delaying or not having children can be economically more worth-while if a woman is highly skilled.<br><br>We are talking consumer economies. The only economies where having big families makes sense are agricultural ones where children make a difference to production or where children can be sent to work in factories and their wages are the only way parents with no land can increase their income.<br><br>In farming, having large families backfires when they grow up because, either they all inherit the land and then farms get too fragmented to produce OR primogeniture and sex-based inheritance laws favour usually the first-born, leaving the rest with only their labour to sell - giving us the famous paradigm in England, where the first son got the land, the second son had to go into the army and the third son went into the church.  England became known in this way as the land of orphans and dispossessed and was the first country to favour high birth rates among the landless. These fertile landless provided a cheap exploitable workforce for agriculture and later for the industrial revolution. <br><br>That is the paradigm that the population boosters - the ones who want a big population - are relying on.<br><br>The graph of birth-rates is very similar to France’s, and is higher than most comparable countries.<br><br>It is abnormal to have continuous population growth, via immigration or via birth rates.<br><br>Australians have intuitively responded to rising costs of living, of having children and have sought to conserve their quality of life and living standards by reducing family sizes, on average.<br><br>The problem is that government and corporations are seeking to raise the price of assets and resources by scarcity and to drop the cost of labour at the same time.  Those corporations which own a lot of assets and resources hope to make a lot of money out of the - water, agricultural land, land for housing (owned by banks).<br><br>So they bring in lots of immigrants and try to boost the birth rate.<br><br>This is anti-democratic becuase the people have no say and it runs       counter to local trends which testify to a desire to stabilise or to reduce populationgrowth and numbers.

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By Cederash on 2009 05 23 - 22:03:33

How can encouraging killing children be good for anyone? This is a stupid debate, just listen to talks concerning GM foods, junk foods, Big_Pharma poisions and Vaccination Damage and realise that people are already dying at unprecedented rates. Don’t forget the alarming fertility decline either.

By LW on 2009 05 29 - 04:46:01

[...] Truth News Radio Australia Australia historical fertility rate   Posted by root 8 minutes ago (http://www.truthnews.com.au)      Don 39 t forget the alarming fertility decline either comment from astridnova powered by wordpress theme design by andreas viklund     Discuss   |  Bury |   News | Truth News Radio Australia Australia historical fertility rate [...]

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RECLAIM AUSTRALIA IS DOOMED

Although I agree with many of their ideas, the forces reigned against RAM are too great, violent, statist and reactionary for them to remain a non-political, broad based, multi-ethnic, community protest group for much longer. The Left and their Antifa nihilist fellow travelers are already pushing them towards the extreme Right, by calling them racists and Islamophobes and so on. Whilst the extreme Right have aligned themselves with RAM. With fascists of the Left and Right pressuring them they will not be able to remain beyond the Left-Right divide and will inevitably move to the Right - the extreme Right. Which is already happening. A development which will alienate decent Australians of all ethnic backgrounds many of whom currently support them. 

The RAM leadership have already established open alliances with the Patriotic Front (the ape in the photograph is a Patriot Front supporter at a recent Richmond demonstration) Australia First and Golden Dawn, a Greek neo-Nazi party. Members of these collectivist groups are currently attending RAM demonstrations all over Australia.

There is a real need in Australia to establish a political movement beyond the Left-Right divide and their vested interests, a movement that questions the current direction Australia is heading i.e. the direction the Left/Right and their extremes would like to take it; that questions the efficacy of state sponsored multiculturalism, as opposed to a proper, non-discriminatory immigration policy; that questions the validity of political correctness; that is politically neutral, anti-war and pro environment; that is opposed to all collectivists ideologies (fascisms of the Left and Right); that would dismantle the power pyramids of corporations and banks and their ability to impact on government; that would dissolve all anti-terror laws and all laws that impose on the rights and freedom of the individual and the people.   

(The ape in the photograph is a Patriot Front supporter at a recent Richmond demonstration)

http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/reclaim-australia-rally-set-for-sydney-on-sunday-20150718-gifb9s.html

http://australiafirstparty.net/news/reclaiming-australia-queensland-senate-campaign/

By Eugene Donnini on 2015 07 26 - 15:36:56
From the entry 'Dylann Roof: soldier in a new race war or just a pawn in the game?'.

Hello there I am so thrilled I found your web site, I really found you by error, while I was searching on Digg for something else, Anyways I am here now and would just like to say thanks for a incredible post and a all round thrilling blog (I also love the theme/design), I don韙 have time to go through it all at the minute but I have bookmarked it and also included your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read a lot more, Please do keep up the great work.

By Prova a Adidas Neutro Originals Nizza Nero Giallo on 2015 07 20 - 08:41:30
From the entry 'Statism, the greater good and the big lie'.

I second Keith’s assertion that Mike Holt from Restore Australia is very much a fake.  He bangs on about Halaal being a scam and money maker for Islam (and no I don’t support Halaal whatsoever), but makes excuses for its counterpart Kosher as being a somehow legitimate.  Double standards?  When I confronted him about this fact he went off on a convoluted tirade about Israel being some sort of “Bastion of Democracy” in the middle east…Really!, I will leave that one up to the readers to decide on.  I found that MH came across as disingenuous to say the least.

By Citizen Scorn on 2015 07 19 - 07:33:43
From the entry 'Restore Australia!'.

Without doubt, TNR is one of the best, if not the best alternative news source on the net. Which doesn’t mean Herewood is always right. His job, I believe, is to present the facts as he sees them as an objectively as possible, without fear or favor.  For this, he has my respect and support. But I believe he needs to be careful and to think a little deeper about the problems of “racism,” in Australia. He has labelled the Reclaim Australia Movement as racist. I’m wondering if his objectivity is a little weak on this point, a little without foundation.

Of course all political movements have its fringe groups and individuals. We make a distinction between, for example, a Muslim and a fundamentalist Muslim (Islamist), and by so doing we don’t claim that all Muslims are blood thirsty fanatics. If its good for the Muslims, then its good for RAM, which is bound to attract a few lunatics and real racists. But to brand the entire movement as “racist” is wrong; it is the same ploy that is used by the mainstream media and its left-wing, establishment Marxist boot boys.

One of the first things I noticed when i attended a RAM rally recently were the amount of non-white people in attendance, including Aboriginals. In fact the main banner of RAM contains an Australian flag and an Aboriginal flag. Speakers at their rallies have included Jews, Arabs, Indians, Aboriginals, Chinese and so on. What does this tell you? Is this really a fascist-Nazi-racist movement whose stated aim are the eradication and exclusion of other cultures, in place of some sort of Aussie white Reich, or is this just propaganda that is being propagated by the left for their own political interests. Consequently, we all know where the culmination of their politics have led, historically speaking, which are to the imposition of terror and dictatorships.

We can be thankful for small mercies, in terms of the Left, which today mostly tends to attract collectivists, establishmentarians and the privileged sons and daughters of the upper bourgeoisie, who seems to share one thing in common, nativity….

By Eugene on 2015 07 18 - 16:03:54
From the entry 'Dylann Roof: soldier in a new race war or just a pawn in the game?'.

Mike Holt from Restore Australia is very much a fake.  He hasn’t even been citizen for but a few years.  But, he makes out like he was born there.  ALSO - this guy spent 30 years in Thailand working shady businesses.  I would wager that his primary purpose in being an activist is that he wants to make money off selling merchandise.

By Keith on 2015 07 17 - 20:51:15
From the entry 'Restore Australia!'.

good to see you putting out some new shows heraward

freely the banana girl is to a certain extent a troll, as is her boyfriend durian rider. they have been trolling the fitness community on youtube for some time… and yes they are extreme but they are also trolls. They use their trolling to spread their message. currently, another dude called vegangains is trolling the fitness community as well.

i am a vegetarian, and it was seeing this documentary on the pork industry that started me on the vegetarian path. for anyone interested, its pretty off the charts disturbing and its australian as well. its pretty much made by dudes breaking into pork farms and filming what they find

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KArL5YjaL5U

Would the world be better if people cared where their food came from? probably, they might then care about other things too

do you become a better person if you dont eat meat? i feel like a better person mainly because animals aren’t being hurt because of me. i dont feel humans have to eat meat really… or at least not much. How can you watch that documentary on pork, know that that is pretty much whats going on and turn a blind eye to it? I think its basic empathy and just saying well ‘i like bacon so yeah’ is in my opinion wrong and i can see freleys point of view to an extent. In my opinion, at least these people believe in something. i see my money as my vote, henceforth im ethical as to what i do with it. free range eggs became mainstream for exactly this reason… although im pretty sure woolies and coles lobbied the state to change the definition of the word ‘free range’ at some point. I dont eat beef because the amount of resources that go into growing a cow are pretty crazy. Think about how much grass that cow needs to eat before it is harvested and how much space it requires. think of how many vegies you could grow in the same space with the same amount of water. lamb? comon, think about what your doing here… but that being said i think most vegans are total loons. People like freeley should be advocating for the destruction of lions and tigers, as lions and tigers murder other animals in truly horrific style. if we humans are smart enough to not harm animals, then we should be stopping the animals that harm other animals from existing. Freeley also kills birds when she flies in aeroplanes so she is a hypocrite.

feminism is one of the biggest problems in society today and although there is some valid historical basis to it, the liberation of the human female from their biology is in my opinion largely a product of the technological advance of humans. sufferagettes where never machine gunned on the streets, unlike the men that where drafted and sent off to war to die just a few years earlier. as technology has advanced, women have advanced as well, however now its going way too far and is pretty blatantly anti male in many respects. i view feminism in its modern context as a tool of the social marxists that really isnt doing society a great deal of good at this time. its screwing up gender dynamics and is wrecking women and men for each other. i see it as low frequency, lowest common denominator idiocy, just like a lot of the the race baiting ‘is this racist’ stuff getting around that is being perpetuated pretty much as a distraction, divide and conquer strategy by the power elite. idiots love this kind of bicker and beef… it would be funny if it wasn’t so serious

anyway

I agree with steven friar. gods a maniac

good show… keep making them

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Really truthfull.

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Yeah sure authority aware.

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Stay tuned for more rules here as usually is the case!!!

By OZE on 2015 07 07 - 16:21:50
From the entry 'Mass media disinformation and brainwashing dissected'.

Almost two months since the last broadcast! How the hell can you expect people to donate when you don’t broadcast? Looks like the ship of truth has sprung a leak. This broadcast has been part of my life almost since its inception…it is one of the few alternative news sources that hasn’t gone off the deep end, by dilution credible information with crap e.g. Fairdinkum Radio and Info Wars…Pittard started FR with some incredibly interesting material, but then he flipped…Today he sounds like a fundamentalist preacher, the Christian equivalent to a Fanatical Islamist. As an atheist, I think he’s really ###### up a potentially good show. As for Info Wars, all they would have to do to improve is dump Alex Jones, what a shit-for-brains. I reckon Jones and Pittard are allowed to proliferate, because they’re so stupid and harmless. I suppose they have some entertainment value, and along with David Icke are living examples of how low the alternative media has sunk. Truth News Radio is, or should I say was, way ahead of them all ahead of them all in terms of credibility How sad that its come to this.

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